AI: Your Co-Worker, Not Your Replacement (Yet)

  • AI as an Augmenting Force: Weil emphasizes that even as AI excels at coding, human expertise will remain crucial for problem-solving and managing AI-driven tasks. He envisions a future where humans and AI collaborate, with humans focusing on high-level problem-solving and managing AI "employees." He predicted, "You're going to be using it day in and day out to augment yourself in your job. People are going to increasingly be sort of managers of these AI employees that will do a lot of the basic work for them."

Algorithmic way of solving

Experience

Projects

Educational qualifications

Individual problem-solving rather than teamwork

CapitalOne and Adobe are hiring through HackerRank (Companies Hiring from Coding Websites).

An interesting point: Peter Norvig at Google suggests that being good at competitive coding might negatively correlate with job performance for already hired top performers, possibly because competitive coders focus on speed over reflection (Peter Norvig's Statement)

  • AI to Surpass Human Coders: Weil predicts that AI will surpass human coders in competitive coding benchmarks by the end of this year [00:00]. He stated, "I think this is the year that, at least by competitive coding benchmarks, AI becomes better than humans at competitive coding forever...and there's no going back."
  • Rapid Advancement of AI Models: Weil highlighted the rapid improvement of OpenAI's models. GPT-01 was initially ranked around the millionth position in competitive coding, placing it in the top 2-3% of programmers globally. GPT-03 is now ranked 175th, and successor models are already showing further improvement.
  • AI Democratizing Software Creation: Weil believes AI will make software creation more accessible to everyone. He stated, "Imagine all the things that you can do if you don't need to be an engineer to create software."
  • AI as an Augmenting Force: While AI will excel at coding, Weil emphasizes that human expertise will remain crucial for problem-solving and managing AI-driven tasks. He envisions a future where humans and AI collaborate, with humans focusing on high-level problem-solving and managing AI "employees." He predicted, "You're going to be using it day in and day out to augment yourself in your job. People are going to increasingly be sort of managers of these AI employees that will do a lot of the basic work for them."

After listening to Kevin’s talk about AI and his AI predictions, I wouldn’t call them predictions, but rather a look at the present. He is able to see these trends because he is working on them and has hands-on access to the AI tech.

One thing he mentioned is, "AI will surpass humans at competitive coding this year, and it is a one-way street. It’s permanent, which means it becomes a fact and it is irreversible once achieved."

This made me curious, and I questioned how much competitive coding actually matters in the industry. From the research I've done, I've come to the conclusion that it's not the *only* thing that helps companies solve problems or optimize their workflow when it comes to hiring. Companies also look for a candidate’s ability to solve problems and their communication skills. They also consider experience and projects they've previously worked on.

Why communication? Why experience?

Thinking about it from a company's perspective, if I were the company, why would I want a person to communicate well in my team? Because I want to know what they are doing and planning. As a company, I want to know everything they do. Through communication, they are able to work smoothly with peers to increase efficiency and reduce costs. In the end, it always comes down to time and money.

The same question applies to experience. What is experience? It’s the memory of doing something.

You know where you might get stuck, what type of problem might arise, and what you should do. Or you know an efficient way of doing things rather than experimenting and trying to figure it out because you already did that! You know what works well. Someone gains efficiency and adds value – which translates to money and time – by doing things based on what they already know, i.e., "experience."

I don’t know how right or wrong I am here, but I’ve learned and observed in life that you make some hypotheses, assumptions, or an idea of how things would work if you followed them. If things don’t work out, you learn that the idea was wrong or what part of it was wrong, and then you correct it. I think it's an ongoing process.

Coming back to AI, the very nature of it is:

1. Efficiency, speed.

2. It can gain experience in the form of text, knowledge, or memory from experts in the world.

  1. Getting experience by doing things and then learning from it isn’t 100 percent. What I mean is, I don’t think any company is letting AI loose in the real world to operate freely, giving it money and letting it experiment and learn new things by doing. Some might be doing it in the background, but it’s not a hot topic in the market.

The final question that comes to mind is, is AI going to do all the things that humans do at the level of language and mind?

And if it becomes an expert in coding, will no companies hire humans to do it?

The answer to the second question is obviously "No" from the present perspective. Looking 1-2 years into the future, I think companies will rigorously start experimenting with AI in place of humans more comparatively (to present). And in 4-5 years, if the same rate of growth in AI persists, then the answer is "Yes."

I don’t know why I am predicting AI will do better in the future and coding becomes everyone's thing, as now you can do the same thing in natural language.

Considering every factor, from raw materials for energy and GPUs, processing time, agents, tech companies, the government, and then coming to a conclusion, is very hard. It’s almost impossible to predict with 100 percent certainty.

But one thing I am sure of is "Nothing."

I hope I shared my thoughts on AI here in depth, but I know it's not deep enough.

If you read it till the end and are still reading this, thank you! I really want your help in this. If you have your perspective on this, please leave a comment on whatever you agree or disagree with, along with solid logic and reasoning.

Watch this video - https://youtu.be/SnSoMh9m5hc

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